A few days ago, the Russian invaders changed the administrative vertical of large-scale aggression against Ukraine and appointed general Alexander Dvornikov as the sole commander of the operation.

This general has commanded Russia’s Southern Military District since 2016, and before that – a Russian military group in Syria; in 1999, Dvornikov took part in the storming and de facto destruction of the Chechen capital Grozny.

In general, experts point to Dvornikov’s experience in destroying civilian infrastructure and the systematic usage of chemical weapons against civilians in Syria.

According to experts, the appointment of a new Russian commander is unlikely to change the aggressor’s general intention regarding criminal attempts to maximize the occupation of Ukraine, including the East and South. The occupied Crimea will remain the key bridgehead and logistics center of the aggressor.

Of course, these “personnel changes” will not affect the objective ability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to effectively counter the relevant Russia’s criminal intentions.

At the same time, experts predict an intensification of the aggressor’s use of various large-scale provocations, including the use of chemicals and non-selective weapons.

For example, in recent days the occupiers have repeatedly destroyed nitric acid tanks in the town of Rubizhne, Luhansk region, which has led to large-scale emissions.

Also the current occupiers’ statements about the alleged “threat” to chemical enterprises in northern Crimea – “Krasnoperekopsky Soda Plant” and the plant “Titan” are typical, with the aggressors’ fabrication the propaganda plots.

It is noteworthy that on the eve of the beginning of large-scale Russian aggression, on February 23, 2022, the Ukrainian military and diplomats pointed to the possibility of such provocations by the Russians at the “Titan” plant as a “basis” for a large-scale Russian invasion.

We will add that on April 11 the General Staff of Ukraine declared possible provocations of the Russian occupiers, who are in the territory of Moldova, in the so-called “Transnistrian republic”.