Sanctions from civilized countries due to large-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine have now gained a significant practical dimension for Russian air and autotruck transport. For Russian aviation, experts predict a large-scale forced reduction in traffic in the second quarter of 2022.
At the same time, the aggressor state relied on air transport for at least five years of occupation of the Crimea as the main tools of transporting people, including “tourists”, to the peninsula, and Russian put his freight logistics on truck transport via the Kerch Bridge. Experts understand that even after the hypothetical “restoration of air connection” with the Crimea, which is possible only after the full Russia’s occupation of Southern Ukraine, and the number of aircraft and the cost of flights to Simferopol will be obviously incomparable with the situation in 2018-2021.
The occupiers are currently trying to combat this phenomenon by “traditional measures”, for example by proposing a “moratorium on the bankruptcy of tour operators” and they call Kremlin for “lending to resorts”, “subsidizing passenger transfers” on the peninsula.
For trucking, the current crisis is the expected shortage of spare parts and maintenance of trucks, which are produced in Russia with a significant component of European countries’ part and equipment. Trucks now include new supply risks in the value of products, which are constantly growing in the consumer market of the peninsula.
As the Association has already reported, the “administration” of the Russian occupiers reacted to the rise in prices by holding “meetings”, at which entrepreneurs were required not to change prices and by creating “hotlines” also, where consumers had to complain about rising prices. This has led to the fact that in a large part of the Crimean shops and markets simply disappeared price tags, and the ever-changing value of goods is reported orally to interested buyers.
At the same time, although Russia can still use the international maritime market on a large scale and it has a large-scale railway infrastructure, these modes of transport were transferred to the “military rails” by the Kremlin government at least until July 1, 2022.
The most Crimea’s tragicomic situation is related with the water supply, when the media controlled by the occupiers provide daily “ceremonial reports” about the filling of part of the North Crimean Canal with water, and the filling of the peninsula’s reservoirs due to precipitation and melting snow. After all, as our Association has repeatedly written, the water distribution systems of the peninsula are 60-80% worn out, and therefore the current water crisis in Crimea will not have easy solutions.